4

Cool Spite

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Monmouth Park 24/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 77 par24/05C5OR 77C6 @ Monmouth Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 73 par25/05C8OR 73C6 @ Monmouth Park 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 66 par16/08C8OR 66C6 @ Monmouth Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 6f 123 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 68 par5/09C8OR 68C5 @ Meadowlands 20/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2026 · OR 69 parC7 @ Delaware Park 16/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark16/10/2026 · OR 80 par16/10C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16Delaware ParkSebastian Orellana?3rd3rd0
2026-09-20MeadowlandsChantal Sutherland?6th4th+2
2026-09-05Monmouth ParkJose Ferrer?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-23Monmouth ParkChantal Sutherland?5th4th+1
2026-08-16Monmouth ParkChantal Sutherland?2nd3rd−1
2026-07-19Monmouth ParkJomar Torres?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0519/075/0916/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20252nd7/163%86%+0.23
24/08/20256th5/174%29%-0.45
25/05/20262nd15/890%75%-0.15
19/07/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
16/08/20262nd4/596%67%-0.29
23/08/20265th15/261%60%-0.01
05/09/20262nd4/696%83%-0.13
20/09/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
16/10/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19