1

Drink This Cup

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Del Mar 26/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 89 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 89 par26/07C5OR 89C5 @ Charles Town 13/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 6f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Delaware Park 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 89 par9/10C6OR 89C6 @ Charles Town 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 91 parC6 @ Charles Town 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 95 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 95 par2/05C6OR 95C0 @ Delaware Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 5f Fas 122C6 @ Charles Town 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 91 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 91 par27/06C6OR 91C6 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 92 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 92 parC6 @ Delaware Park 07/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 93 · 5f Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/10/2026 · OR 93 par7/10C6OR 93projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-07Delaware ParkCarol Cedeno?5th4th+1
2026-07-24Delaware ParkCarol Cedeno?5th4th+1
2026-06-27Charles TownJulio Hernandez?4th3rd+1
2026-05-29Delaware ParkJulio Hernandez?2nd2nd0
2026-05-02Charles TownJ Acosta?2nd1st+1
2025-11-01Charles TownJulio Hernandez?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/071/1127/067/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/202510th2/189%0%-0.89
13/09/20251st4/998%100%+0.02
09/10/20252nd11/1094%83%-0.11
01/11/20253rd8/1196%67%-0.30
02/05/20262nd11/1094%83%-0.11
29/05/20262nd4/179%67%-0.12
27/06/20264th9/488%50%-0.38
24/07/20265th9/276%33%-0.43
07/10/20265th14/126%43%+0.17