Madonna Of Loreto
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 94
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Keeneland | Luis Saez | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Churchill Downs | Luis Saez | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | Axel Concepcion | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | Manuel Franco | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/10/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |