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3

Drilling For Gold

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 91

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 15/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m1f Fm 123 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 77 par15/08C7OR 77C8 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m1f Fm 122 · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 80 parC7 @ Laurel Park 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 78 · 1m1f Gd 126 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 78 par26/09C7OR 78C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 1m110y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Fair Grounds 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 88 par27/12C5OR 88C5 @ Fair Grounds 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Laurel Park 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 95 par19/04C5OR 95C5 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 95 par13/08C5OR 95projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Colonial DownsSheldon Russell?8th6th+2
2026-06-12Laurel ParkSheldon Russell?2nd0th+2
2026-04-19Laurel ParkSheldon Russell?5th3rd+2
2026-02-12Fair GroundsBrian Jr Hernandez?2nd0th+2
2025-12-27Fair GroundsBen Curtis?4th2nd+2
2025-10-09Presque Isle DownsAntonio Gallardo?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/089/1019/0413/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20255th7/282%20%-0.62
03/09/20253rd3/184%71%-0.13
26/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
09/10/20252nd9/488%80%-0.08
27/12/20254th16/116%73%+0.57
12/02/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
19/04/20265th11/486%64%-0.22
12/06/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
13/08/20268th9/153%22%-0.30