13
Kitten's Ploy
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 13 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Delaware Park | Raul Mena | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | Ronaldo Rodriguez | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | Ronaldo Rodriguez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | Carol Cedeno | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | Raul Mena | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | Paul Luna | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/10/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |