8
Mister Woodford
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 80
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Delaware Park | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | Inoel Beato | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Penn National | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Penn National | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |