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10

Mo Rewards

7yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 10 · OR 96

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Aqueduct 24/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark24/01/2025 · OR 97 par24/01C7OR 97C5 @ Colonial Downs 15/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/03/2025 · OR 93 parC8 @ Penn National 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 90 par2/05C8OR 90C8 @ Penn National 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 1m4f Fm 122 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 90 par16/07C8OR 90C8 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 88 · 1m 125 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 95 par29/08C8OR 95C8 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 93 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 93 par4/10C7OR 93projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Laurel ParkJaime Rodriguez?5th5th0
2026-09-12Delaware ParkYedsit Hazlewood?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-29Colonial DownsMartin Chuan?5th6th−1
2026-08-08Colonial DownsPaco Lopez?5th6th−1
2026-07-16Colonial DownsPaco Lopez?1st2nd−1
2026-06-12Penn NationalMelvis Gonzalez?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0112/0629/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/01/20256th13/266%17%-0.49
15/03/20254th6/168%25%-0.43
02/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
12/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
16/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
08/08/20265th11/271%60%-0.11
29/08/20265th9/276%33%-0.43
12/09/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
04/10/20265th10/382%20%-0.62