14

Street Rockin

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 14 · OR 86

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 121 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 86 par21/02C8OR 86C5 @ Sam Houston Race Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Aqueduct 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 92 par19/04C5OR 92C5 @ Penn National 06/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 95 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 84 par11/06C7OR 84C5 @ Delaware Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 82 par19/07C7OR 82C8 @ Delaware Park 02/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 88 · 5f Fas 123 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Meadowlands 11/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m 121 · below its mark11/10/2026 · OR 89 par11/10C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11MeadowlandsTeshawn Hazelwood?7th8th−1
2026-10-02Delaware ParkTeshawn Hazelwood?8th9th−1
2026-07-19Colonial DownsMario Fuentes?8th8th0
2026-06-20Delaware ParkTeshawn Hazelwood?3rd1st+2
2026-06-11Delaware ParkCarol Cedeno?4th4th0
2026-05-06Penn NationalTeshawn Hazelwood?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/026/0519/0711/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength4%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
22/03/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
19/04/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
06/05/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
11/06/20264th12/137%25%-0.12
20/06/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
19/07/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
02/10/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
11/10/20267th50/10%25%+0.25