Appealing Girl

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▼2

Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +1.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-26	Laurel Park	Gavin Ashton	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-09-18	Laurel Park	Gavin Ashton	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-08-06	Colonial Downs	Gavin Ashton	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-06-27	Laurel Park	Gavin Ashton	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 47/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength10%

Delivery trend -24.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
27/06/2026	6th	33/1	0%	17%	+0.17
06/08/2026	5th	40/1	0%	50%	+0.50
18/09/2026	6th	16/1	16%	38%	+0.22
26/09/2026	6th	3/1	84%	29%	-0.56