4
Gotta Be Da Shoes
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 4
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Laurel Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | Martin Chuan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | Samuel Marin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | Paco Lopez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | Raul Mena | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 04/10/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |