2
Hail No
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 2
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | Jose Vargas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | Jareth Loveberry | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | Jareth Loveberry | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 18/10/2025 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 9% | -0.70 |
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 15/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |