4
Frost Rocket
2yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 72
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Presque Isle Downs | Paco Lopez | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | Christoff Douglas | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | Emma Jayne Wilson | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -44.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |