3

Grind It Out

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 61

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 1193/09C6C5 @ Laurel Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 77 par3/10C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Laurel ParkJohan Rosado?5th4th+1
2026-09-03Colonial DownsJohan Rosado?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/093/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -87.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
03/10/20265th11/486%0%-0.86