9

Winslow

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 77

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

85%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 1193/09C6C6 @ Laurel Park 25/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 62 · 6f 122 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 62 par25/09C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Laurel ParkXavier Perez?1st2nd−1
2026-09-03Colonial DownsXavier Perez?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +30.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
25/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12