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Amazing Gracer

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 1

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 29/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS29/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 24/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 91 par24/10C6OR 91C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 86 par7/06C6OR 86C6 @ Saratoga 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Saratoga 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 87 par21/08C6OR 87C9 @ Belmont Park 30/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark30/09/2026 · OR 86 par30/09C9OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Belmont ParkManuel Franco?4th4th0
2026-08-21SaratogaManuel Franco?5th2nd+3
2026-07-19SaratogaManuel Franco?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-07SaratogaJaime Rodriguez?4th1st+3
2026-05-08Belmont At The Big AJose Lezcano?4th1st+3
2025-10-24Belmont At The Big AKatie Davis?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/068/0521/0830/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20255th10/147%43%-0.05
24/08/20252nd16/116%90%+0.74
24/10/20253rd7/282%67%-0.15
08/05/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
07/06/20264th11/271%73%+0.02
19/07/20262nd5/287%91%+0.04
21/08/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
30/09/20264th4/596%70%-0.26