2

Devilish Grin
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Belmont Park | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Belmont Park | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | Manuel Franco | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/01/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 14/10/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |