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6

Firestreak

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Yie 120 · HIGHER CLASS27/09C6C9 @ Laurel Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m110y 12629/05C9C9 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12621/06C9C6 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 77 par21/07C6OR 77C7 @ Delaware Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 79 · 7f110y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 79 par13/08C7OR 79C9 @ Laurel Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m110y 1233/10C9C6 @ Laurel Park 18/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS18/10C6projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18Laurel ParkJose Batista?6th3rd+3
2026-10-03Laurel ParkJoseph Rocco Jr?5th5th0
2026-08-13Delaware ParkJose Batista?3rd1st+2
2026-07-21Delaware ParkJose Batista?4th1st+3
2026-06-21Laurel ParkAngel Cruz?4th4th0
2026-05-29Laurel ParkJose Batista?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0921/0718/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20253rd40/10%82%+0.82
29/05/20263rd5/287%50%-0.37
21/06/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
21/07/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
13/08/20263rd2/189%71%-0.18
03/10/20265th11/486%20%-0.66
18/10/20266th20/10%0%0.00