5
Hurrah
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 82
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | Jevian Toledo | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | Jevian Toledo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |