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5

Magiel

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 4

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Baguenault De Puchesse Handicap · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/07C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1281/08C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12421/08C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1242/09C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12525/09C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 14/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12114/10C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14Saint-CloudC Soumillon?7th7th0
2026-09-25Saint-CloudM Guyon?3rd3rd0
2026-09-02Lyon-ParillyL Boisseau?2nd2nd0
2026-08-21ClairefontaineL Boisseau?7th7th0
2026-08-01ClairefontaineL Boisseau?4th4th0
2026-07-07ChantillyL Boisseau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/071/0821/082/0925/0914/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 58/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -13.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
01/08/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
21/08/20267th4/179%40%-0.39
02/09/20262nd11/142%86%+0.44
25/09/20263rd2/189%78%-0.12
14/10/20267th13/266%33%-0.32