9
Periwinkle
2yo Filly · 8-2 · Draw 9
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Baguenault De Puchesse Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Saint-Cloud | H Boutin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | L Grosso | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | A Pouchin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 23/09/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 14/10/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |