1
Woodstars
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Baguenault De Puchesse Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Marseille-borely | H Boutin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | H Boutin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | H Lebouc | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | H Lebouc | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | A Madamet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | A Madamet | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -14.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 17/10/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |