5
Paiute
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Grand Camp Listed Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | M Barzalona | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | M Barzalona | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | M Velon | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | M Barzalona | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-01-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | Samy Camacho | ? | 7th | 13th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 65/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 1/1 | 95% | 14% | -0.80 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |