1
Prince Des Villes
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Grand Camp Listed Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | M Guyon | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | M Barzalona | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | C Demuro | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | G Meury | 3 | 9th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | M Guyon | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | M Guyon | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 20/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 20/04/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 47% | -0.40 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.55 |