5
Napple's
3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 2
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Tremblay Stakes - Arab Group 3 · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Vichy | J Claudic | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |