8

Brillador
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | J Claudic | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | J Claudic | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Angers | J Claudic | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -47.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |