2
Fantastic Star
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Nancy | F Valle Skar | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Strasbourg | F Valle Skar | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | A Madamet | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | D Santiago | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | A Madamet | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | A Madamet | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 85% | -0.06 |
| 01/12/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 11/10/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |