7
Mozart Des Brieres
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Lyon-Parilly | C Billardello | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | C Billardello | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | C Billardello | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | C Billardello | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | J Claudic | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | C Billardello | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 23/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 06/10/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |