Pink Monday
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | ParisLongchamp | A Orani | 1 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | A Orani | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | Eddy Hardouin | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | Eddy Hardouin | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | A Madamet | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | G Congiu | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 03/10/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |