1
Plata D Octobre
4yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 4
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Marseille-borely | H Boutin | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | H Boutin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | H Boutin | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | H Boutin | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | H Boutin | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | H Boutin | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 67/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/10/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 53% | -0.10 |