4
Trabuco
8yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 8
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | ParisLongchamp | A Molins | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | A Molins | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | A Baron | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | H Lebouc | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | Am Romain Lemiere | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Deauville | Marvin Grandin | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/10/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |