6
Treatwood
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7
Lyon-Parilly · Prix De Lacroix-laval Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Marseille-borely | L Boisseau | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | C Lecoeuvre | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | L Boisseau | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | L Boisseau | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | L Boisseau | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | L Boisseau | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 21/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/10/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |