3

Golden Thread

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Ventoux Hurdle · 2m 198y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Angers 26/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 12326/04C5C5 @ Nancy 20/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12820/05C5C5 @ Nancy 06/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1286/06C5C5 @ Nantes 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 1253/07C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12518/07C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-18Le Lion D'angersD Provost?2nd4th−2
2025-07-03NantesD Provost?2nd4th−2
2025-06-06NancyD Provost?1st3rd−2
2025-05-20NancyThomas Trullier?2nd4th−2
2025-04-26AngersA Pouchin?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0420/056/063/0718/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 85/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20252nd3/184%86%+0.02
20/05/20252nd5/287%90%+0.03
06/06/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
03/07/20252nd9/276%80%+0.04
18/07/20252nd13/266%80%+0.14