5
Hordearii
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Jocelyn Monnier - Prix D'acheres Hurdle · 2m 198y
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Compiegne | E Puillet-Roda | ? | 7th | 12th | −5 |
| 2026-10-02 | Lyon La Soie | E Puillet-Roda | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | V Dupont | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | Thomas Trullier | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | F Lefebvre | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | E Puillet-Roda | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 10-13 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/02/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/09/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/10/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/10/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |