3
Raffles Choice
3yo Gelding · 10-10
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Jocelyn Monnier - Prix D'acheres Hurdle · 2m 198y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | Bryony Le Clerc | 2 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | Bryony Le Clerc | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | Bryony Le Clerc | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -65.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |