2
Loreleye
5yo Filly · 10-12
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Monts Du Lyonnais Hurdle · 2m 198y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Toulouse | L Colson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Pau | Q Defontaine | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Pau | E Labaisse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | J Derouet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Saint-Malo | E Manceau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-29 | Pornichet | Z El Briouil | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 29/12/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 17/02/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |