4
Ludivine
5yo Filly · 10-10
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Monts Du Lyonnais Hurdle · 2m 198y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | S Beroud | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | A Masson | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-05-24 | Vichy | T Sporli | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2024-08-26 | Moulins | A Nicco | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Lignieres En Berry | A Nicco | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +18.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 26/08/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |