5
Mayreau
4yo Filly · 10-7
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Monts Du Lyonnais Hurdle · 2m 198y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Le Lion D'angers | A Zuliani | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | L Roussel | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | H Lebouc | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |