12
Melodie Du Doubs
4yo Filly · 10-5
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Des Monts Du Lyonnais Hurdle · 2m 198y
#12
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | G Fradelin | 2 | +2 | ||
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | B Gelhay | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Compiegne | Jf Rambur | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -21.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |