11
Filzmooserin
7yo Mare · 10-5
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Blanc Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Strasbourg | A Roussel | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | M Grondin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | M Pien | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Fontainebleau | And roussel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Strasbourg | S Pedron | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Vittel | P Cheyer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2024 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.46 |
| 05/06/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 14/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/09/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 04/10/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |