6

Imagination

6yo Mare · 10-10

Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Blanc Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 06/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f86y Ver 1456/09C?C0 @ Craon 22/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m4f83y Ver 150C0 @ Fontainebleau 05/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1475/10C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 154C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 16/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 15216/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 24/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 1451 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m6f190y Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS5/0114 @ Fontainebleau 26/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1521 @ Compiegne 11/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 152 · HIGHER CLASS11/031projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-11CompiegneG Meunier18th6th+2
2026-02-26FontainebleauF Giles41st2nd−1
2025-01-05Cagnes-sur-MerE Bonnet17th4th+2
2024-12-24Cagnes-sur-MerF Giles?1st1st0
2024-12-16Cagnes-sur-MerJ Charron?1st1st0
2024-12-02Cagnes-sur-MerTho Journiac?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/092/125/0111/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20245th5/174%43%-0.31
22/09/20243rd3/184%82%-0.02
05/10/20243rd12/137%71%+0.35
02/12/20243rd17/255%86%+0.30
16/12/20241st4/179%100%+0.21
24/12/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
05/01/20257th20/10%33%+0.33
26/02/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
11/03/20268th10/147%42%-0.06