9
Kap Taillat
6yo Mare · 10-5
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Blanc Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-03 | Cholet | G Richard | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-09-24 | Auteuil | G Richard | ? | 7th | 12th | −5 |
| 2024-09-05 | Toulouse | G Richard | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-08-08 | Saint-Malo | A Lepage | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Chateaubriant | A Gautron | ? | 5th | 10th | −5 |
| 2023-08-04 | Saint-Malo | G Richard | ? | 7th | 12th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2023 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/04/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 08/08/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 24/09/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 03/11/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |