5
Kibboutz
6yo Gelding · 10-10
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Blanc Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength58%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | A Zuliani | 2 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | A Zuliani | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | Kevin Nabet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-05-19 | Auteuil | Bryony Le Clerc | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-04-27 | Auteuil | Kevin Nabet | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2024-03-31 | Auteuil | Kevin Nabet | ? | 2nd | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 67/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2023 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 18/11/2023 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/03/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 27/04/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/05/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |