10
Parioli
7yo Mare · 10-5
Lyon-Parilly · Prix Du Mont Blanc Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-12 | Fontainebleau | D Lecomte | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-05-18 | Lyon-Parilly | J Coyer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-04-22 | Lyon-Parilly | J Coyer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2023-03-19 | Lyon-Parilly | J Coyer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-01-17 | Pau | Da Surveillant | ? | 4th | 9th | −5 |
| 2023-01-09 | Pau | C Riou | ? | 5th | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2022 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 09/01/2023 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 17/01/2023 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/03/2023 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/04/2023 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 18/05/2023 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |