6
Sutton Hoo
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 12 · OR 62
Newcastle · Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.9
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Newcastle | Ethan Tindall | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | C J Whiteley | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | Paddy Harnett | BHA71 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | Wayne Lordan | BHA73 | 12th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | Wayne Lordan | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Listowel | Billy Lee | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 58/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength2%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 22/09/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/05/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |