Titian
8yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 10 · OR 63
Newcastle · Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Haydock | Olivia Haines | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | Tom Kiely-Marshall | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | Mr Jack Loughnane | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | Ryan Sexton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | Ryan Sexton | 4 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | Tom Kiely-Marshall | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 12/06/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 25/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |