Urban Road
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 14 · OR 64
Newcastle · Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Newcastle | Sean Kirrane | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | Ray Dawson | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | Mr D H Dunsdon | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | S De Sousa | 4 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Hamilton | Rhys Elliott | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-30 | Redcar | Rhys Elliott | 3 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 20/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 12/06/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 16/10/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |