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8

Bella Angelina

3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 76

Newcastle · All-Weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise first 2 starts, including when finishing runner-up at Carlisle in July. Flopped when seventh of 9 at Wolverhampton 17 days ago though something may have been amiss and first-time tongue strap now applied so could bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 12814/0644 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f173y Goo 1259/0744 @ Wolverhampton 13/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12513/104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13WolverhamptonBilly Loughnane47th7th0
2026-07-09CarlisleP Mulrennan42nd2nd0
2026-06-14DoncasterLewis Edmunds43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/069/0713/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -45.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20263rd15/261%82%+0.21
09/07/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
13/10/20267th1/195%25%-0.70