4

Mr Black Diamond

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 8

Newcastle · All-Weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#5

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to beat a rival in 2 starts, including over C&D last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f219y Goo 1339/0944 @ Newcastle 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f14y Std 13319/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NewcastleBilly Garritty46th6th0
2026-09-09RedcarCam Hardie49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0919/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20269th80/10%0%0.00
19/09/20266th150/10%0%0.00