Astral Crown
2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 73
Newcastle · AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery · 1m 5y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Pontefract | D Tudhope | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | D Tudhope | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | D Tudhope | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +53.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |