Zirconic
2yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 69
Newcastle · AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery · 1m 5y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Kempton | Rossa Ryan | 2 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-09-26 | Haydock | Ashley Lewis | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | Harry Davies | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | Harry Davies | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/10/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |